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Discusses why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones by reducing the influence of "noise"--variables that can cause bias in decision making--and draws on examples in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, strategy, and personnel selection.
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"Mr. Frog finds out that timing is everything when he keeps missing his chance to cross the street as the crosswalk sign changes from "stop" to "go." Can he stop daydreaming about how he will jump, hop, or flip his way across the street, and how much fun he will have when he gets to the other side, before the sign says "stop" again? Sometimes the journey is just as much fun as the destination!"--Provided by publisher.
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The idea of artificial intelligence--job-killing robots, self-driving cars, and self-managing organizations--captures the imagination, evoking a combination of wonder and dread for those of us who will have to deal with the consequences. But what if it's not quite so complicated? The real job of artificial intelligence, argue these three eminent economists, is to lower the cost of prediction. And once you start talking about costs, you can use some...
10) Free period
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"Forced to join the school's Community Action Club, troublemaking best friends Helen and Gracie take over the club's campaign for maxi pads in bathrooms and soon find themselves closer to change and deeper in trouble than ever before, forcing them to make a difficult decision"--
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"Written by a veteran Wall Street Journal reporter, this is a fascinating deep dive into the world of billion-dollar traders and high-stakes crisis predictors who strive to turn extreme events into financial windfalls. There's no doubt that our world has gotten more extreme. Pandemics, climate change, superpower rivalries, cyberattacks, political radicalization--virtually, everywhere we look there is mayhem bearing down on us, putting trillions of...
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Dragons, Chimeras, and Hydras, oh my! Come explore Miss Turie's Magic Creatures, the most exotic pet store you've ever seen! Miss Turie guarantees to "have the pet that's right for you," but can she find a match for her toughest customer yet? Told in an upbeat, fast-paced rhyme, children will laugh as they learn about mythical creatures and contemplate what they might be like as a household pet. Following the story is a catalog of each featured creature...
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As a child, Sarah Robb O'Hagan dreamed she could be a champion. Her early efforts failed to reveal a natural superstar, but she refused to settle for average. Through dramatic successes and epic fails, she studied how extraordinary people in sports, entertainment and business set and achieve extremely personal goals. Sarah became an executive at Virgin Atlantic and Nike, and despite being fired twice in her twenties, she went on to become the global...
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